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 Saturday, April 29 2017 5:59am Hongkong Time

Israel to attack Iran before the 2012 U.S. presidential elections?

There are plenty of options other than going to war

Raymond Cheng

Snapshots of Not-ready-to-die-in-your-war campaign (c) Ronny Edry
Tens of thousands of people joined the online cause "Israel Loves Iran" and portraited themselves in the "Not-ready-to-die-in-your-war photo campaign", spreading the message of peace across the Internet. Photo © Ronny Edry

Iran's former President Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani once quoted the late Ayatollah Khomeini's words and described Israel as a "one-bomb country," meaning that it would only take one nuclear bomb to completely wipe Israel off the world map (note: this was actually an incorrect translation done by some anonymous wire service translators, see "The rumor of the century" by Iran specialists Arash Norouzi of the Mossadegh Project). Yet, to some extent, I agree with the logic that Israel is a compact state and going to war would definitely not be in the interest of the country. But when Israel is such a tiny "one-bomb country" and no one is ready to die in an Israel-Iran war (see the quickly blooming social media group "Israel Loves Iran"), why risk annihilation and be the first to strike? At least I, for one, have never heard of Taiwan attempting to take back mainland China or South Korea to invade Japan. There are, always, cleverer, more civilized, and much longer lasting weapons to use that would do good to both sides than to go to full-scale war – business and trade, foreign direct investment, etc. for instance. Maybe it's time for Mr. Netanyahu to revise his investment portfolio to include some Iranian assets and check out the examples between India and Pakistan, or Taiwan and China (below). Even though many would argue that the situation there are different than that between Israel and Iran, I still hold the belief that there are plenty of options other than war and there is always a light of hope for peace – it is just a matter of choice.

Dr Raymond Cheng RELATED INFORMATION FOR READERS

Raymond Cheng

    BEFORE SEPTEMBER 2012

    SEPTEMBER 2012

    OCTOBER 2012

    DAYS BEFORE U.S. PRESIDENTAL ELECTION

    ABOUT A WEEK AFTER OBAMA GOT RE-ELECTED

    A MONTH AFTER THE ELECTION

  • Another try at nuclear negotiations - and Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel has threatened military strikes if these activities are not halted by next spring or early summer - New York Times (2012/12/24)
Does that mean Iran is safe for now? Let's hope so while our prayers go to the people in both Gaza and Israel. Meanwhile, those who are interested might want to review as well some recent histories of other nations' peaceful attempts in preventing regional military conflicts.

Pakistan and India: Historical grudge to set aside in less than 10 years – friendship, strategies and FDI more efficient than killing

  1. Don't fire or we'll strike back, India tells Pak - following up its diplomatic offensive, Indian troops now ready to conduct retaliatory fire assaults - India Times (2002/05/20)
  2. Mumbai attack 2008: Two days of terror - for two days from November 26 to 28, 2008, more than 150 people were killed in co-ordinated shootings and blasts at 10 different locations, taking hostages at two hotels and a Jewish center - New York Times (2008/11/29)
  3. India aid critical for success of Afghan operations: US - India provides for Afghanistan a substantial development assistance of $1.3 bn - DNA India (2009/11/06)
  4. Don't leave Afghanistan, India told U.S. - Indian officials, worried that this would be to the detriment of India's security; PM Manmohan Singh also pledged $500 million more to India's $1.3 billion development assistance package to Afghanistan - The Hindu (2011/05/24)
  5. 'India willing to invest at least $20b to $50b in Pakistan' - exploring peaceful opportunities in Pakistan, including mining, petroleum, energy, power and infrastructure etc. - The Tribune (2012/05/02)
  6. First Pakistan-India management summit planned in Lahore - the Pakistani and Indian governments have taken a number of steps in recent months to enhance trade and economic relations starting with Islamabad decided to grant Most Favoured Nation (MFN) status to India by year-end - The News, Pakistan (2012/08/28)
  7. Death penalty for lone surviving guman of India's Mumbai massacre - judges said they were left with no option but to award death penalty - Perth Now (2012/08/29)
  8. India Inc may soon get to invest in Pakistan - to boost economic relations between the neighbours - India Times (2012/08/30)
  9. Pakistan, India likely to sign new visa regime - suspended because of the 2008 Mumbai attacks; green lights now lit for group tourist visa, visa on arrival for senior citizens and children and year-long multiple entry visa for businessmen - Dawn Pakistan (2012/09/01)
  10. Pakistan-India ties improving: Malik - relations were improving according to the wishes of peoples of the two countries; Pakistan would be strongly resisting any movement of terrorists between the two neighbours - The Tirbune, Pakistan (2012/09/03)
  11. Pakistan and India finalize visa agreement - new and liberalized visa agreement finalized despite no major breakthroughs on the major conflicts between the two neighbors, including the disputed territory of Kashmir - NY Daily (2012/09/08)
    1. 'India remains committed to resolving all outstanding issues with Pakistan through dialogue' - goodwill and friendship from the government and the people of India for the government and the people of Pakistan - The News (Pakistan) (2012/09/07)
    2. 'India remains committed to resolving all outstanding issues with Pakistan through dialogue' – Part II - India's recent decisions to allow FDI and investment in shares and convertible debentures from Pakistan - The News (Pakistan) (2012/09/08)
  12. India, Pak identify 8 areas of mutual cooperation - including agriculture, education, environment, health, information, tourism and IT & Telecom for mutually beneficial cooperation - India Times (2012/09/08)
  13. Peace is indeed difficult to mainatain: Pakistan-India ties: Delay in new visa regime irks parliamentary panel - a parliamentary panel has voiced its reservations over delay in implementation of a new visa regime recently signed - Express Tribune (2012/10/06)
  14. Yet through building trust this can be worked out: "Optimists see an opening for better India-Pakistan ties" - increased trust can lead to resolution of long-simmering conflicts - LA Times (2012/10/18)

In fact, numerous analysis and papers have also established the fact that business and trade interdependence leads to peace and that economic interdependence is associated with a reduction of international tensions between nations.

Nationalist Taiwan and Communist China: Maintaining status quo through both incentives and deterrence

  1. Taiwan opens sensitive high-tech investment with rival China - deeper trust and gains, more jobs and higher chance for President Ma Ying-jeou to win a second term - Christian Science Monitor (2011/03/07)
  2. Taiwan welcomes Chinese investment with some reservations - Taiwanese invested approx. 1,000 times more in mainland China (as of February 2011, US$12.2b) than the Chinese (approximately US$140m) in Taiwan - Taiwan Insights (2011/05/13)
  3. Taiwan must have 'strike back' capability: US report - the US and Japanese conventional forces are always prepared, making the PLA think twice about striking - Taipei Times (2011/09/01)
  4. President of Taiwan is re-elected, a result that is likely to please China - welcomed by Taiwanese business leaders, who feared his defeat could irritate China and set back the détente that has served them well during the past three and a half years - New York Times (2012/01/15)
  5. Taiwan to seek fewer new US fighter jets - legislator says possibly leave the door open to buying more advanced F-35s - Khaleej Times (2012/08/13)
  6. Taiwan signs yuan clearing deal with China, creates new rate - Singapore, Japan, and Thailand have signed similar deals with China - Bloomberg BusinessWeek (2012/08/31)
  7. Taiwan-China economic ties to deepen with yuan pact - new clearing system marks the start of the final stage of an economic integration that has drawn Taiwan closer to its one-time political foe and lifted trade to over $160 billion annually - Reuters (2012/09/07)

    RELATED: LOOKING OUT FROM ISRAEL



ABOUT THE CONTRIBUTOR

Raymond Cheng, PhD DPA FRSA, is the founder and chief editor of Commentary.com. He is an adjunct professor in international business and in marketing, an independent policy analyst as well as a language and cultural briefing consultant.

Email Raymond at raymond {dot} cheng {at} kellogg {dot} oxon {dot} org



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COUNT ON THE STATISTICS  100% Towels (c) Daniel Chittka
Photo © Daniel Chittka

This new section contains some interesting statistics in bribe and corruption, please check back for more as we pile up our numbers!

It's statistics time!  Using n-gram: kickback, graft, bribe and corruption - Comparison of their historical occurrences from 1810 to 2009 A.D.

  The word guanxi (collocation) and meanings of bribe: Deeply rooted, disgusting, sad endings

LATEST STUFF TO PONDER UPON
Looking for a good book (c) Doug Logan
Photo © Doug Logan
tagged by area of interestBY AREA OF INTEREST
Trends
Pragmatics: Politeness trends from the historical perspective of global trade
Computer mediated communications: Social network – Came riding the waves of amazing coincidences
Analysis
Language acquisition:
A critique on "A corpus driven study of the potential for vocabulary learning through watching movies"

Grammatical analysis: "When a linguist stumbled upon a Buttonwood"
Lexicon and the corpus: "John Sinclair's lexical items – an introduction"
tagged by regionBY REGION • Anything AsiaUS Presence in Asia
Communist ChinaNationalist TaiwanHong Kong and MacauJapanKoreaSingaporeMalaysiaPhilippinesPakistanIndiaAfghanistanVietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand and MyanmarTimor-Leste and IndonesiaMongoliaNew Zealand and Australia
tagged by topicsBY TOPIC • BiofuelRhino and elephant poachingAmerican movies hit China marketChina Internet censorshipChina's outward FDI opportunitiesGlobal rice yield
ISLAND DISPUTES – FROM A DISTANCE
Island disputes in Southeast Asia | Senkakus-Diaoyu and historical findings | Dokdo-Takeshima | Spratly, Paracel, Scarborough | Kurils

For those you who don't have time to read all our news excerpts about the Asian island disputes (links above), you may find the following video, "The economic impact of a war between Japan and China", very enlightening.



© Minute MBA: More from onlinemba.com

Free Pussy Riot!
Free Pussy Riot!

Photo © Igor Mukhin, retrieved from Wikipedia

"This trial is another example of the Kremlin's attempts to discourage and delegitimize dissent. It is likely to backfire." John Dalhuisen, Director of Amnesty International's Europe and Central Asia Programme

 More from Amnesty InternationalFree Pussy Riot



How it started – Pussy Riot Prayers, February 2012

PUSSY RIOT CHRONOLOGY 2012
08/17 Pussy Riot imprisoned on hooliganism charges
08/17 The only professionals in sight
08/19 Pussy Riot protesters arrested in Marseille
08/20 NZ PM – Sentence 'disproportionate'
08/20 Pussy Riot fear their kids being put in care
08/22 German supporters face criminal charges
08/22 Pussy Riot – it's carefully calibrated
08/23 Russian church-state corruption unveiled
08/23 Putin's secret weapon: The Orthodox faithful
08/24 Putin-nominated watchdog slams convictions
08/31 'Pussy Riot ritual killing', man detained
09/03 Orthodox deacon speaks over verdict
09/06 Putin denies part in 'Pussy Riot case'
09/10 Pussy Riot benefit concert draws 1,000
09/10 Gorbachev says verdict "disproportionate"
09/19 Punk group to transfer to remote penal colony
09/21 Aung San calls on Moscow to release RP
10/01 Sentence appeal delayed until Oct 10
10/10 Katya freed, 2 years for Nadya and Masha
10/16 Masha and Nadya sent to remote labor prison



BBC • Pussy Riot women begin life in prison

11/16 Merkel challanges Putin on imprisonment
11/22 Maria Alekhina transferred to solitary cell
11/28 Tolokonnikova's appeal case goes to court
12/24 Extremist videos appeal adjourned

PUSSY RIOT CHRONOLOGY 2013
01/15 Masha's sentence deferment denied
02/01 PR civil claim granted right to appeal
02/07 Pussy Riot files complaint with ECHR
03/06 Ombudsman asks court to overturn verdict
03/08 Protesters detained in Moscow
04/13 PR gets reprimand: parole problematic
04/21 PR defense seeks abolition of conviction
07/26 Parole denied, PR remains defiant



The Knife supporting PR at Pukkelpop

08/17 Against verdict on PR – Day of Solidarity
08/23 PR seeks mitigation of remaining sentence
GLUCK ON SOCIALISM AND CHINA Asia (c) Robert Churchill
Photo © Robert Churchill

Professor Sidney Gluck (c) Sandi BachomI am honored to have obtained Professor Sidney Gluck's (right) permission to allow me to repost here some of his work and interview related to China and socialism. Professor Gluck is professor emertius at the New School University in New York. A classical Marxist, Gluck has been studying China for 60 years in history and modern development. He has lectured all over the U.S. and still welcomes engagement at the age of 94 – photo © Sandi Bachom

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I am proud to announce that the Commentary.com website is now carrying the technology updates from Usman Khurshid's Technize.net. Usman is a network consultant and works in a mixed environment of Windows and Linux platforms. He likes to study about the latest advancements in computer technology and shares his views on his blog.

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Oh, please do not get me wrong. This new section is not about computers, electronics or any engineering stuff, but rather I am currently constructing a new corpus based on Spectrum, the monthly publication from the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers USA, from July 2007 to date. Having been a member for over 20 years since 1992, I am always fascinated by some of the terms scientists use when they talk about or envision their new inventions or methodologies. How many of them eventually come into practice? Could there be some insights we could possibly derive, from the linguistics perspective?

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